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Global Development: Views from the Center

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May 06, 2008

Ethanol Opposition Makes for Strange Bedfellows

Posted by Lawrence MacDonald at 06:36 PM

Sam Loewenberg at Politico has an interesting story that describes the odd coalition that has emerged in opposition to ethanol subsidies -- development and humanitarian NGOs, the livestock and food processing industries, and big oil. As Sam reports:

The headline-grabbing global food crisis has given the anti-ethanol crowd a rare opportunity to take up a legislative battle they thought they had lost. Industry has found an unlikely ally among several humanitarian groups, leaders of which hope that cutting back on ethanol will lower food prices.

I happen to think that Sam has got it wrong when he dismissed the impact of ethanol subsidies on soaring global food prices. He quotes my colleague, agricultural trade expert Kim Elliott as saying that the subsidies are a "red herring." Since Kim is a longtime critic of biofuel subsidies (see Biofuels Worsening Hunger and Global Warming -- So Yank the Subsidies!), I suspect that she was making the point that ethanol subsidies are only one part of a complex problem, rather than dismissing them as irrelevant. Other CGD researchers, including agriculture and rural development expert Peter Timmer and trade expert Arvind Subramanian have also argued that biofuel subsidies are an important part of the problem. (They are perhaps also one of the easier things to set right -- we can hardly tell the Chinese to eat less meat, and the Indians to drink less milk and eat fewer eggs so that we can continue feeding corn to our SUVs!)

But what interests me about Sam's piece is something else: his observation that big oil and the livestock and food processing industries, which from my point of view seem to usually get whatever they want from Congress, had decided to live with biofuel subsidies until the issue became a hot topic with humanitarian and development NGOs. There are some lessons here for those of us who work to improve the policies of the U.S. and other rich countries towards development. First, our influence really can make a difference -- even the very well-financed and powerful vested interests like food processing and big oil see the development community as a useful ally. Second, we should be alert and wary of being used by one set of special interests against another -- we should still do it when the cause is right, but with our eyes wide open.

As Gawain Kripke, the policy director for Oxfam America, said in Sam’s report: The food and oil lobbyists' timing "is opportunistic, but it doesn’t make it wrong."

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Comments

The soft power and NGOs are being opportunistic. They were for foreign subsidies and aid in biofuels until they're lobbying with the farm bill failed. The prices began to rise and now we're running out of food. They now say the subsidies and foreign aid for biofuels is the problem when this is what they wanted until their farm bill lobby failed. The NGOs, soft power and civil society lobbyists are partially responsible for the price run up because of their failed farm bill lobby.

The food and oil lobbyists were the NGOs until they couldn't get what they wanted with the farm bill.

Posted by: KFS at May 6, 2008 08:45 PM

I should clarify the red herring remark in Sam's piece. I really meant it the other way around--the food crisis is a bit of a red herring in the debate over the current generation of biofuels. What I was trying to say is that even a small impact of biofuels on food prices is more than enough reason to change government policies promoting them because the current generation, based on food products, has no merit on its own terms:

* 25 percent of the US corn crop was used for ethanol last year and that was only around 5 percent of US gasoline consumption--this is not a great boon to American energy security,

* corn production is heavily dependent on chemicals that pollute our waterways, undercutting any environmental benefits

* but the climate benefits are not that large in any case and will be negative on net if new grasslands or forests are converted to agricultural production for either food or fuel.

So rather than arguing over how big the impact is (and it could be large, I simply don't know), we should end biofuel promotion policies immediately because they are contributing something to the food crisis while doing very little to reduce American dependence on oil and probably making global warming worse rather than better.

Posted by: Kim Elliott at May 7, 2008 03:50 PM

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